GEN-MEDIEVAL-L ArchivesArchiver > GEN-MEDIEVAL > 2007-08 > 1187871016
From: John Plant <>
Subject: Re: Calculating The Joint Probability Of False Paternity Events [FPE]
Date: Thu, 23 Aug 2007 13:10:16 +0100
References: <email@example.com> <46CD5756.firstname.lastname@example.org>
> OK, try this. I had vague recollections reinforced by obvious
> requirements for P(n,p) at its limiting values. Obviously P(n,0.02) is
> np for n=0,1 and flattens before n=50. An exact calculation fills in the
> details. It would be good to see a full series of P(n,p) curves plotted
> out but that seems unlikely to happen here.
OOps correction. What I should have said is "An exact calculation fills
in the details *subject to certain assumptions*". I am getting so swept
up in this obsession for a particular, simple "uniform p" model that I
am forgetting the more scientific reality myself.