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Archiver > GENEALOGY-DNA > 2004-03 > 1080423213


From: "Louis" <>
Subject: Re: [DNA] Some thoughts about the near future
Date: Sat, 27 Mar 2004 13:34:17 -0800
References: <20040327210657.59132.qmail@web20023.mail.yahoo.com>


Peter and all,

I think your prediction is great! I am anxiously awaiting the time when
SNP testing allows us to test for the sub-branches and twigs. (STR
testing is nice too, but SNP testing to me is of utmost importance.)

Actually, one problem is that not all SNPs have been discovered. When
more SNPs are discovered, we can add more sub-branches to the Human Male
Family Tree. (I am hoping that what you propose happens in the next few
years, rather than an entire decade though!!)

MOST IMPORTANT: I also hope an advancement occurs in developing a good
BioGeographical Ancestry test! A "BGA" test that tests enough markers
can show a person's overall ancestry, rather than just a few ancestral
lines that the mtDNA and Y DNA test allows for. I know David Faux is
looking into this possibility as well. A good "BGA" test will be the
next major breakthrough, in my opinion!! I encourage all scientists and
companies to consider developing and researching a BGA test! Many people
will be interested and willing to pay good money for this type of test.

Looking forward to all this coming true!!!
Louis Loccisano



----- Original Message -----
From: "Peter J. Roberts" <>
To: <>
Sent: Saturday, March 27, 2004 1:06 PM
Subject: [DNA] Some thoughts about the near future


> I would like to predict that within the next decade we
> will be able to order affordable SNP tests that will
> determine which sub clad of our halpogroup we belong
> to. That information, along with an even larger
> number of STR markers tested, will eliminate the
> possibility of convergence. When a customer receives
> their y-chromosome test results, it will be clear
> which line/branch/"twig" they descend from. Currently
> each branch is identified by the SNP which
> distinguishes that branch. STR haplotypes will
> distinguish smaller branches and twigs. Many of these
> male lines will also be given more personal names.
> Some parts of these lines will contain the names of
> actual historical figures.
>
> With improved SNP testing of sub clads and additional
> markers, the haplotype clusters we belong to (our
> close matches), will only be our cousins of our direct
> male line. Surnames and history (family, cultural,
> ethnic, and political) will help us interpret our
> haplotype clusters.
>
> It is predicted that at about 140 STR markers, a
> y-chromosome test becomes a personal identity test.
>
> What is your thinking about where this field will be
> in the near future?
>
> Sincerely, Peter J. Roberts
>
>
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