GENEALOGY-DNA-L ArchivesArchiver > GENEALOGY-DNA > 2006-10 > 1159814528
Subject: Re: [DNA] MLE
Date: Mon, 2 Oct 2006 14:42:08 EDT
In a message dated 10/2/2006 10:15:55 AM Pacific Daylight Time,
> For those of you for which refering to a natural log table may not be
> convenient or transparent
The built-in Windows calculator can do natural logs. Start | Accessories |
Calculator then click on View and choose Scientific if you don't see a button
labeled ln on the left-hand side.
One word of caution about the M in MLE -- the maximum likelihood estimate
sounds more impressive than it really is. For instance, if you use the default
values, the closest match is 35/37. If you click on the TMRCA button, it gives
13 generations as the most likely value. However, if you cast your eyes down to
the graph and hover over 13 generations, you'll see that the absolute
probability is only .0444.